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Received:January 05, 2026 Revised:January 26, 2026
Received:January 05, 2026 Revised:January 26, 2026
中文摘要: 在复杂交通场景下, 交通流存在时空依赖关系强、外部因素影响明显和长程时间依赖关系难捕捉等问题. 然而, 现有的基于图卷积网络(graph convolutional network, GCN)或Transformer架构的单一方法不能兼顾解决多方面问题, 因此, 本文提出了一种融合时序图卷积网络(temporal graph convolutional network, TGCN)与Transformer架构的交通流量预测模型. 该模型设计了基于双重动态邻接矩阵的TGCN层, 能够自适应更新节点间空间关系, 突破了在复杂动态环境下静态拓扑结构的局限性; 用FiLM机制完成多模态特征的条件融合, 增强了模型在非平稳交通流上的鲁棒性. 最后, 采用Transformer架构, 利用自注意力机制实现多尺度下的建模. 在PeMS04和PeMS08上的实验结果表明, 在不同预测时间步下, 本文模型在高噪声交通场景中均表现出较为稳定, 并且优于多种主流基线方法的预测性能, 验证了本文模型拥有更好的泛化能力.
Abstract:In complex traffic scenarios, traffic flow exhibits strong spatiotemporal dependencies, is significantly influenced by external factors, and contains long-range temporal dependencies that are difficult to capture. However, existing methods based solely on graph convolutional networks (GCNs) or Transformers are unable to address these issues simultaneously. Therefore, this study proposes a traffic flow prediction model that integrates a temporal graph convolutional network (TGCN) with a Transformer architecture. TGCN layers based on dual dynamic adjacency matrices are designed for the model to adaptively update spatial relationships among nodes, overcoming the limitations of static topological structures in complex dynamic environments. The feature-wise linear modulation (FiLM) mechanism is adopted to achieve conditional fusion of multimodal features, thus enhancing the robustness of the model in non-stationary traffic flows. Finally, a Transformer architecture is employed, where the self-attention mechanism facilitates multi-scale modeling. Experimental results on PeMS04 and PeMS08 show that, for different prediction horizons, the proposed model maintains stable performance in noisy traffic scenarios and outperforms several mainstream baseline methods, demonstrating its strong generalization ability.
keywords: traffic flow prediction spatio temporal modeling dual dynamic adjacency matrix FiLM modulation multimodal feature fusion Transformer
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甘祝明,张岚,蔡广迪,李宪源,李俊.融合FiLM调制与双重动态邻接矩阵的TGCN-Transformer 交通流量预测模型.计算机系统应用,,():1-10
GAN Zhu-Ming,ZHANG Lan,CAI Guang-Di,LI Xian-Yuan,LI Jun.TGCN-Transformer-based Traffic Flow Prediction Model Integrating FiLM Modulation and Dual Dynamic Adjacency Matrices.COMPUTER SYSTEMS APPLICATIONS,,():1-10
甘祝明,张岚,蔡广迪,李宪源,李俊.融合FiLM调制与双重动态邻接矩阵的TGCN-Transformer 交通流量预测模型.计算机系统应用,,():1-10
GAN Zhu-Ming,ZHANG Lan,CAI Guang-Di,LI Xian-Yuan,LI Jun.TGCN-Transformer-based Traffic Flow Prediction Model Integrating FiLM Modulation and Dual Dynamic Adjacency Matrices.COMPUTER SYSTEMS APPLICATIONS,,():1-10

