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计算机系统应用英文版:2025,34(9):180-191
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基于物理信息神经网络的冷凝塔水温自适应分解组合预测
(1.西安建筑科技大学 信息与控制工程学院, 西安 710055;2.国能平罗发电有限公司 生产技术部, 石嘴山 753400)
Adaptive Decomposition Combinatorial Prediction for Condensation Tower Water Temperature Based on Physical Information Neural Network
(1.College of Information and Control Engineering, Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi’an 710055, China;2.Production Technology Department, Guoneng Pingluo Power Generation Co. Ltd., Shizuishan 753400, China)
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Received:January 16, 2025    Revised:February 12, 2025
中文摘要: 国有大型火力发电厂冷凝塔的水温预测对“双碳”减排有重要意义, 为提高电厂运行能效, 解决监测数据非实时预测方法中的原始数据波动大、预测精度低等问题, 本文提出一种基于PINN-CEEMDAN-GA-BiLSTM分解组合模型的预测方法. 首先, 使用自适应噪声完全集合经验模态分解(CEEMDAN)模型在快速提取非线性和非光滑信号的时频特征方面的优势, 对分解得到的13个固有模态函数(IMF)进行重构. 其次, 使用遗传算法(GA)对CEEMDAN的参数进行优化调整. 最后, 引入物理信息神经网络(PINN)来引导物理规律和约束条件, 将物理信息纳入损失函数中, 利用双向长短期记忆神经网络(BiLSTM)模型在物理信息神经网络下对在每个重构的IMF分量进行建模和预测. 这种组合利用BiLSTM在物理信息神经网络下对数据进行更准确的建模, 有助于提高预测精度和模型的稳定性. 通过将该模型与其他混合模型进行对比分析, 结果证明, 所提出模型具有较高的预测精度, 决定系数、均方根误差、平均绝对误差和平均绝对百分比误差分别为0.9987、0.1295、0.1001、0.4541, 验证了该模型在水温预测方面的有效性.
Abstract:The water temperature prediction of condensation towers in large state-owned thermal power plants is of great significance for “dual-carbon” emission reduction. To improve power plant operational efficiency and address issues in non-real-time monitoring methods, such as large fluctuations in raw data and low prediction accuracy, this study proposes a predictive method based on the PINN-CEEMDAN-GA-BiLSTM decomposition-combination model. Firstly, by leveraging the advantages of the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) model in quickly extracting time-frequency characteristics of nonlinear and non-smooth signals, the 13 intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) obtained from decomposition are reconstructed. Secondly, the genetic algorithm (GA) is used to optimize and adjust the parameters of CEEMDAN. Finally, the physics-informed neural network (PINN) is introduced to incorporate physical laws and constraints by integrating physical information into the loss function, and the bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) neural network model is used to model and predict each reconstructed IMF component under the PINN. This combination uses BiLSTM to achieve more accurate data modeling under the PINN, contributing to enhanced prediction precision and model stability. Through comparative analysis with other hybrid models, the results show that the proposed model has high prediction accuracy, with determination coefficient, root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error reaching 0.9987, 0.1295, 0.1001, and 0.4541, respectively, which verify the effectiveness of the model in water temperature prediction.
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基金项目:国家重点研发计划(2023YFC3803900)
引用文本:
孙通,吴萌,杨生虎,张耀明.基于物理信息神经网络的冷凝塔水温自适应分解组合预测.计算机系统应用,2025,34(9):180-191
SUN Tong,WU Meng,YANG Sheng-Hu,ZHANG Yao-Ming.Adaptive Decomposition Combinatorial Prediction for Condensation Tower Water Temperature Based on Physical Information Neural Network.COMPUTER SYSTEMS APPLICATIONS,2025,34(9):180-191